Psephologist-turned-politician Yogendra Yadav has predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will win another general election, dashing the hopes of the Congress party for an electoral comeback.

Yadav does, however, see a bright spot for the Congress party in the current Lok Sabha elections: its seat total may surpass 100.

Yadav’s seat forecast was supported by Kishor, who is facing backlash on social media for his prediction that favoured the Bharatiya Janata Party. He said that Yadav predicted that the BJP would win between 240 and 260 seats, and its allies would win between 34 and 45 seats. This means that the NDA’s total could be between 275 and 305 seats.

“A trusted face among those who understand elections and socio-political issues in the country, YogendraYadav, has shared his “final assessment” of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. According to Yogendra ji, BJP may get 240-260 seats and NDA’s allies may get 35-45 seats in these elections. Meaning 275-305 seats for BJP/NDA. To form the government in the country, 272 seats are required and BJP/NDA has 303/323 seats in the outgoing Lok Sabha. (Shiv Sena won 18 seats as part of NDA but is no longer with them). Now assess yourself whose government is being formed. On June 4, we will know who is talking about whom,” Kishor wrote on X.

Yadav has said that the Congress will secure 85–100 seats. With 120–135 seats, the INDIA bloc, which aims to halt the BJP juggernaut in its tracks, is probably going to shrink. In the general elections of 2019, the Congress had only secured 52 seats. This time round they might get luckier but not enough to form the government.